Clipmarks | bferman's 'ipcc' clips

IPCC Report Dampens Global Warming Alarmism

Sun, 27 May 2007 16:26:53 GMT

clipped by: bferman
clipper's remarks: Of course the media won't pick up on this. "If it bleeds, it leads" and this story isn't bleeding.

Clip Source: www.heartland.org

IPCC Fourth Assessment Dampens Global Warming Alarmism

Reduced Sea-Level Predictions

The biggest story in the summary was largely missed by the environmental media. The IPCC now projects, in its mid-range scenario for carbon dioxide emissions, that the maximum-scenario rise in global sea level in this century will be around 17 inches.

That's a reduction of 30 percent from what was in the Third Scientific Assessment, published just six years ago.

That's huge news, or at least it should be.

But instead of listening to what the IPCC is saying, people are opting for the science fiction of Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth, whose central disaster scenario is that Greenland sheds the majority of its ice this century, raising sea level as much as 20 feet. Much of Florida disappears, and the Mall in Washington goes under water.

Recent Developments Ignored

In two years, somehow the vast expanse of the upper ocean suddenly lost the equivalent of a decade's worth of warming!

Tags: global warming, climate change, science, politics, ipcc

IPCC Climate Report Scientifically Erroneous

Sun, 27 May 2007 15:05:22 GMT

clipped by: bferman

Clip Source: climatesci.colorado.edu

Climate Science has selected two errors in Chapter 1 of the 2007 WG1 IPCC Report to highlight

The second error (and it is a big one) is their unsubstantiated claim that

“Projecting changes in climate due to changes in greenhouse gases 50 years from now is a very different and much more easily solved problem than forecasting weather patterns just weeks from now. To put it another way, long-term variations brought about by changes in the composition of the atmosphere are much more predictable than individual weather events.” [from page 105]

This is a remarkable claim, and forms the basis of the entire IPCC concept

Their claim

is such an absurd, scientifically unsupported claim, that the media and any scientists who swallow this conclusion are either blind to the scientific understanding of the climate system, or have other motives to promote the IPCC viewpoint. The absurdity of the IPCC claim should be obvious to anyone with common sense.

Tags: ipcc, report, climate change, global warming, science

IPCC Backtracks on Global Warming

Wed, 07 Mar 2007 04:27:54 GMT

clipped by: bferman

Clip Source: www.opinionjournal.com

While global warming alarmism has become a daily American press feature, the IPCC, in its new report, is backtracking on its warming predictions. While Al Gore's "An Inconvenient Truth" warns of up to 20 feet of sea-level increase, the IPCC has halved its estimate of the rise in sea level by the end of this century, to 17 inches from 36. It has reduced its estimate of the impact of global greenhouse-gas emissions on global climate by more than one-third, because, it says, pollutant particles reflect sunlight back into space and this has a cooling effect.

The IPCC does not explain why from 1940 to 1975, while carbon dioxide emissions were rising, global temperatures were falling, nor does it admit that its 2001 "hockey stick" graph showing a dramatic temperature increase beginning in 1970s had omitted the Little Ice Age and Medieval Warming temperature changes, apparently in order to make the new global warming increases appear more dramatic.

Tags: ipcc, global warming, climate change, myth, gore

Global Warming, 'The Science' & the Politics

Sun, 28 Jan 2007 12:01:12 GMT

clipped by: Djiezes
clipper's remarks: ... read the full article ...

The unfortunate thing is that many people still hold onto a ‘normal’ faith in science such that it can first find truth, then speak truth to power, and that truth-based policy will then follow. Fred Singer has this view of science; so does Mark Lynas. That is why they reduce their exchange to one about scientific truth rather than about values, perspectives and political preferences. If the battle of science is won, then the war of values will be won.

Clip Source: www.postnormaltimes.net

Book review: Unstoppable Global Warming - every 1,500 years

Is this a book about science? It is certainly written by scientists, one a climate physicist (Professor Fred Singer, an ex-US Government science advisor and outspoken critic of the idea that humans are warming the planet), the other a biologist. Its central thesis – the warming currently observed around the world is a function of a 1,500 year ‘unstoppable’ cycle in solar energy – is linked to evidence that most people would recognise as being generated by science. And the book is written as a scientific text, with citations to peer-reviewed articles, deference to numbers and adoption of technical terms. But whether this book is about science or about something else depends on what you believe science to be. One of the central reasons we disagree about climate change is because we have different conceptions of what science is and with what authority it speaks – in other words, how scientific ‘knowledge’ interacts with those other realms of understanding brought to us by politics, ethics and spirituality.

Tags: climate change, global warming, book, review, book review, singer, avery, skeptic, denial, science, ipcc, environment, future, politics